Novi Pazarvs
Macva
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novi Pazar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Novi Pazar 1-1 Macva
Original prediction
Novi Pazar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 47.8% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 26.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.4% | 25.7% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Novi Pazar
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Novi Pazar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40