Novi Pazarvs
IMT Novi Beograd
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IMT Novi Beograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novi Pazar 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novi Pazar 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd
Original prediction
IMT Novi Beograd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.9% | 25.6% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 33.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 41.0% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Projected Score
Novi Pazar 0–0 IMT Novi Beograd
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
IMT Novi Beograd
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
IMT Novi Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60