GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/10/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 46.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraWLDLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus VeronaDDDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
NovaraVirtus Verona
34.2Attack30.7
57.0Defence62.3
37.7Form41.2
45.4Power46.5
0.82xG0.72
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