GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vicenza Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Novara are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Vicenza Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vicenza Virtus

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Vicenza Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraDWDLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vicenza VirtusWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovaraVicenza Virtus
34.2Attack45.6
57.0Defence73.7
37.7Form62.3
45.4Power61.9
0.55xG1.13
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