GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Union Brescia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Brescia

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union BresciaLDWWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
NovaraUnion Brescia
34.2Attack43.0
57.0Defence78.9
37.7Form60.5
45.4Power62.2
0.50xG1.06
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