GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/7/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Union Brescia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Brescia

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union BresciaWLDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraUnion Brescia
34.2Attack43.0
57.0Defence78.9
37.7Form60.5
45.4Power62.2
0.50xG1.06
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