Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Treviso are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Treviso hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00