Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Trento are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80