Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Renate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40