GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/16/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PRO Vercelli hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraDDDDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
PRO VercelliLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NovaraPRO Vercelli
34.2Attack43.9
57.0Defence58.8
37.7Form46.5
45.4Power51.1
0.89xG1.05
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