Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Novara hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00