GGOALVIO

Novara logoNovaravsPro Patria logoPro Patria

COMPLETED

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 45.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pro PatriaLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraPro Patria
34.2Attack32.5
57.0Defence55.3
37.7Form40.4
45.4Power45.1
0.98xG0.76
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