GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/7/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pergolettese are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraPergolettese
34.2Attack38.6
57.0Defence56.1
37.7Form39.5
45.4Power45.8
0.96xG0.91
View match centre →