Novaravs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/5/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80