Novaravs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/19/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60