GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ospitaletto hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OspitalettoLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraOspitaletto
34.2Attack36.0
57.0Defence62.3
37.7Form39.5
45.4Power47.8
0.82xG0.85
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