Novaravs
Ospitaletto
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/21/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ospitaletto hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60