GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/13/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legnago Salus hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraLDDDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Legnago SalusDDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraLegnago Salus
34.2Attack40.4
57.0Defence65.8
37.7Form49.1
45.4Power53.5
0.73xG0.97
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