Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 44.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00