GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/11/2027, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NovaraGiana Erminio
34.2Attack40.4
57.0Defence61.4
37.7Form46.5
45.4Power50.7
0.83xG0.96
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