Novaravs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/9/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40