Novaravs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/28/2024, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Novara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Novara hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Novara holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Novara
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Novara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40