GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Feralpisalo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Novara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Feralpisalo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Feralpisalo hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Feralpisalo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Feralpisalo

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Feralpisalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FeralpisaloDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
NovaraFeralpisalo
34.2Attack46.5
57.0Defence73.7
37.7Form63.2
45.4Power62.6
0.55xG1.15
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