NovaravsDesenzano Calvina

Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.