NovaravsCittadella

Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.