NovaravsCaldiero Terme

Novara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Novara hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Novara holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.