Novaravs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20