GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/13/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.4 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovaraDWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Arzignano ValchiampoLDWWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
NovaraArzignano Valchiampo
34.2Attack28.1
57.0Defence67.5
37.7Form38.6
45.4Power46.1
0.71xG0.66
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