Novaravs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alessandria are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Novara hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00