Novaravs
Albinoleffe
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/19/2024, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Novara are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60