Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Novaci 4-2 Pelister
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NovaciDLWWD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PelisterDWDWD
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovaciPelister
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60