Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
MediumconfidenceNovaci are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pelister are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NovaciDLWWD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PelisterDWDWD
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovaciPelister
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60