Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belasica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceNovaci are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Belasica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and belasica hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Second League, favouring Belasica with 14.3% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Belasica
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
14.3%
Belasica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NovaciDLWWD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BelasicaWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovaciBelasica
42.5Attack42.5
44.8Defence64.4
35.6Form44.8
42.1Power51.4
0.95xG1.32