Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aresimi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Novaci have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Aresimi are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aresimi hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Second League, while Aresimi holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aresimi
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Aresimi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40