Nova Iguaçuvs
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Copa Rio · 8/26/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nova Iguaçu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20