Nova IguaçuvsSampaio Corrêa RJ

COMPLETED

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/26/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Nova Iguaçu 0-0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Final result

Nova Iguaçu 2-0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.47	36.3%	34.2%	-2.1 pts
Draw	2.78	32.3%	33.0%	0.7 pts
Away	2.85	31.4%	32.9%	1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Projected Score

Nova Iguaçu 0–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.0%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Nova IguaçuDWDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5

Sampaio Corrêa RJWDWWL

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5

Nova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ

25.0Attack33.3

91.7Defence100.0

66.7Form83.3

64.8Power75.3

0.75xG0.75