Nova Iguaçuvs
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nova Iguaçu are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.1 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20