Nova Iguaçuvs
Lagarto
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nova Iguaçu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nova Iguaçu are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lagarto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nova Iguaçu hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Nova Iguaçu holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nova Iguaçu
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
14.0%
Nova Iguaçu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00