Nova IguaçuvsFortaleza EC

Nova Iguaçu are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Nova Iguaçu holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.