Nova Iguaçuvs
CFRJ / Maricá
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nova Iguaçu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CFRJ / Maricá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nova Iguaçu hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
29.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00