Nova Iguaçuvs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nova Iguaçu are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Athletic Club are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/2.25
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00