GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca U20 · 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Nova Iguaçu U20 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fluminense U20 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense U20 hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.6% in the Carioca U20, while Fluminense U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense U20

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

21.6%

Fluminense U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nova Iguaçu U20DLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fluminense U20LLDLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Nova Iguaçu U20Fluminense U20
26.7Attack48.9
51.1Defence73.3
37.8Form55.6
40.9Power60.3
0.43xG1.38
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