GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/16/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nova Cidade are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Paduano are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Paduano hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Carioca - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nova CidadeL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
PaduanoL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Nova CidadePaduano
33.3Attack45.5
60.6Defence69.7
36.4Form45.5
44.5Power53.1
0.64xG1.01
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