Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šternberk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nové Sady 0-6 Šternberk
Original prediction
Šternberk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 22.6% | 25.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.7% | 23.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.7% | 50.9% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Šternberk
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Šternberk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nové SadyLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 26 · avg 0.60/5.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ŠternberkWLDLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nové SadyŠternberk
25.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form33.3
10.0Power44.6
1.36xG2.16