Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nové Sady · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nové Sady 2-3 Brumov
Original prediction
Nové Sady
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.3% | 40.7% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.7% | 21.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.0% | 38.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Nové Sady
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Nové Sady has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nové SadyWDLLL
GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrumovLLLLD
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nové SadyBrumov
41.7Attack45.8
0.0Defence0.0
16.7Form16.7
20.4Power24.6
2.33xG2.17