GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/12/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Notts County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Notts County are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wolves U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolves U21 hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Notts County

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Notts CountyDWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wolves U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Notts CountyWolves U21
22.2Attack33.3
33.3Defence22.2
0.0Form33.3
22.9Power33.8
1.75xG1.59
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