Notts Countyvs
Sheffield Wednesday
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Notts County 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Notts County 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 29.5% | 15.0% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 20.5% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 43.3% | 64.5% | 21.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.2 pts
Projected Score
Notts County 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60