Notts CountyvsNorthampton

Notts County are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Northampton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Northampton hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.