Notts Countyvs
Manchester United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notts County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Notts County are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 22.9 against 22.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notts County
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20