GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Notts County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Notts County are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leicester City U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 22.9 against 23.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Notts County

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Notts CountyDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Leicester City U21LLLWL

GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Notts CountyLeicester City U21
22.2Attack22.2
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form33.3
22.9Power23.0
1.88xG1.51
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