Notts Countyvs
Grimsby
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notts County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Notts County are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grimsby are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Notts County hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the League Two, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notts County
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20