Notts CountyvsDerby

Notts County are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Derby are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Derby hold a 54.4-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 77.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Derby holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.